Sunday, February 22, 2015

2015 Oscars Final Picks

Well, you definitely cannot say that it has been a month devoid of interesting dialogue about the Academy Awards, whether it has been the "whitewash", the rise of American Sniper, or the battle between Boyhood and Birdman. I'll start my final ballot with the "additional categories" before moving onto the nine awards on which I truly stake my reputation.

Additional Categories


Best Song - Selma
Best Original Score - The Grand Budapest Hotel
Best Costume Design - The Grand Budapest Hotel
Best Makeup and Hairstyling - The Grand Budapest Hotel
Best Production Design - The Grand Budapest Hotel
Best Cinematography - Birdman
Best Editing - Boyhood
Best Visual Effects - Interstellar
Best Sound Mixing - Whiplash
Best Sound Editing - American Sniper
Best Foreign Language Film - Ida
Best Documentary - Citizenfour
Best Documentary (Short) - Crisis Hotline: Veterans Press 1
Best Short Film (Animated) - The Dam Keeper
Best Short Film (Live Action) - The Phone Call

Main Categories


Best Supporting Actress - Patricia Arquette for Boyhood.

Best Supporting Actor - J.K. Simmons for Whiplash.

Best Actress - Julianne Moore for her entire career Still Alice.

Best Actor - As much as I thought Michael Keaton could pull it off, I'm getting a Bill Murray/Mickey Rourke vibe from this year, so I'm picking Eddie Redmayne for The Theory of Everything.

Best Adapted Screenplay - Some pundits are picking The Imitation Game (partially because it won the WGA) but I think that it will be this year's "highly nominated but ultimately shut out" movie (like True Grit or American Hustle), leaving Whiplash taking this award.

Best Original Screenplay - Wes Anderson won the WGA for The Grand Budapest Hotel, and that seems about right to me, especially because the sentiment will be that Birdman and Boyhood will be awarded elsewhere (whether they actually will be or not).

Best Animated Feature - I think this will go to How To Train Your Dragon 2 over Big Hero 6.

Best Directing - It's really a two-person race between Linklater for Boyhood and Inarritu for Birdman. My suspicion is that Linklater's decade-plus devotion to his film will overcome Inarritu's innovation, so I'm picking Boyhood.

Best Picture - This is the most difficult category to pick. Boyhood was the early front runner, but Birdman picked up enough key wins along the way to have more than a few pundits pick it. I could easily see either winning, but when I think about the overall narrative of the Oscars and the possible legacy of these films - both of which are highly innovative - the Oscars tend to have aversions to comedies, superhero movies, and innovation, which means that Boyhood will win. (But don't be surprised if I'm wrong on this one.)

1 comment:

  1. 17/24 overall, which sounds good until you realize that 5 of the 7 I missed were in the 9 major categories I predict. The only major categories I picked correctly were the Acting ones, and it would have been very difficult to predict those incorrectly. I completely underestimated Birdman, and I paid for it with my worst year of predictions. Oh well - maybe I can do better next year.

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